Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Leicester City Under-21s win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.
-4.69) 
0.62) 
