Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.06) 
