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EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
BA

Rochdale
2 - 0
Burton Albion

Ball (86' pen.), Rodney (90+4')
Diagouraga (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Powell (30'), Onyango (84')

We said: Rochdale 1-2 Burton Albion

Both managers will be demanding an immediate response from their teams here, and Stockdale does have some youthful attacking options ready to freshen up his XI. The youngsters can seek to take advantage of Burton Albion's depleted backline, but assuming the visitors can keep all 11 men on the pitch, Hasselbaink's men should have what it takes to make it through. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result
RochdaleDrawBurton Albion
39.57% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 26.31% (0.0030000000000001 0) 34.12% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.93% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.29% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)51.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)73.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)25.64% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.46% (-0.012 -0.01)60.54% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.19% (0.0010000000000048 0)28.81% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.33% (0.0019999999999953 0)64.66% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 39.57%
    Burton Albion 34.12%
    Draw 26.3%
RochdaleDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 10.05%
2-1 @ 8.51% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 6.84% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.86% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 39.57%
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 7.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.3%
0-1 @ 9.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 7.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.23%
0-3 @ 2.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 34.12%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Rochdale
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 1-2 Crewe
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Rochdale
Friday, July 1 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Newport 0-2 Rochdale
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 3-4 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Exeter 2-0 Rochdale
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-4 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 3-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-3 Sheff Utd
Friday, July 22 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Birmingham
Saturday, July 16 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-1 Nott'm Forest
Tuesday, July 12 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Wycombe
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One


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