Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
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