Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 46.32%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Barnsley in this match.
-0.01) 
0.02) 
