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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 43.52%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s |
43.52% ( 0.84) | 24.13% ( 0.14) | 32.35% ( -0.98) |
| Both teams to score 59.82% ( -0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.46% ( -0.98) | 42.54% ( 0.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.05% ( -0.98) | 64.95% ( 0.98) |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.25% ( -0.04) | 19.75% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.22% ( -0.06) | 51.78% ( 0.06) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.54% ( -1.05) | 25.46% ( 1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.71% ( -1.45) | 60.29% ( 1.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.34)2-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.08% Total : 43.52% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.22)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.13% | 1-2 @ 7.63% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.53% Total : 32.35% |
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