Neither of these teams are coming into this match with much confidence right now, and that is something that could lead to a struggle for quality in this one.
However, Hartlepool could be set to enjoy a new manager bounce in this game, and if Curle can make an immediate impact it could lead to their first win of the season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.97%) and 2-1 (7.84%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
-0.16) 
0.17) 
