SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Sutton United |
30.36% ( 0.16) | 27.69% ( -0.03) | 41.95% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 47.54% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.97% ( 0.15) | 58.02% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.29% ( 0.12) | 78.71% ( -0.11) |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.39% ( 0.2) | 34.61% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.66% ( 0.21) | 71.33% ( -0.21) |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.71% ( 0) | 27.28% ( 0) |
