Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 55.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 19.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.35%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Gillingham win it was 1-0 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.