SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Harrogate Town | 7 | -4 | 7 |
| 20 | Colchester United | 7 | -5 | 5 |
| 21 | Gillingham | 7 | -7 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 57.36%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s had a probability of 21.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 1-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Colchester United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s |
57.36% ( 0.52) | 21.27% ( -0.29) | 21.37% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 59.72% ( 0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.84% ( 1.04) | 38.16% ( -1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.57% ( 1.09) | 60.43% ( -1.1) |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.85% ( 0.5) | 13.15% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.17% ( 1) | 39.83% ( -1) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.76% ( 0.38) | 31.24% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.41% ( 0.44) | 67.59% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.1)1-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.26)3-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.72% Total : 57.36% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.21)3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.27% | 1-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.68% Total : 21.37% |
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