Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
0.04) 
-0) 
