SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
39.85% ( 0.04) | 26.44% ( -0.02) | 33.71% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.41% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.65% ( 0.06) | 52.35% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.97% ( 0.05) | 74.03% ( -0.05) |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.21% ( 0.05) | 25.79% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.26% ( 0.07) | 60.74% ( -0.06) |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.62% ( 0.02) | 29.38% ( -0.01) |
