Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.