Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
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