Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
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