Both involved in high-scoring affairs so far this season, we are expecting an open game between Lincoln and Mansfield on Saturday afternoon. The Imps are arguably favourites given their home advantage, although we feel that the attacking quality of the Stags should fire them to at least a point on their travels. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln City	Draw	Mansfield Town
32.02% ( 0)	26.47% ( 0)	41.51% ( -0)

Both teams to score 51.85% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.16% (

52.84% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.54% (

74.46%

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.25% (

30.74% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.99% (

67.01% (

-0)

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.87% (

25.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.16% (

59.84%

Score Analysis

Lincoln City 32.02%

Mansfield Town 41.51%

Draw 26.46%

Lincoln City	Draw	Mansfield Town
1-0 @ 9.11% 2-1 @ 7.42% 2-0 @ 5.37% 3-1 @ 2.92% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.11% 3-2 @ 2.02% Other @ 3.07% Total : 32.02%	1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 7.73% 2-2 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.46%	0-1 @ 10.67% 1-2 @ 8.69% 0-2 @ 7.37% 1-3 @ 4% 0-3 @ 3.39% 2-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 1.38% 0-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.48% Total : 41.51%