Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-0 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
-0.05) 
0.01) 
