Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 61.15%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for West Ham United Under-21s had a probability of 19.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.94%) and 3-1 (7.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for a West Ham United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
-0.01) 
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