Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
0.01) 
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