SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Reading had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
32.27% ( -1.28) | 25.65% ( 0.06) | 42.08% ( 1.23) |
| Both teams to score 54.57% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.63% ( -0.6) | 49.37% ( 0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.58% ( -0.55) | 71.42% ( 0.55) |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.15% ( -1.11) | 28.85% ( 1.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.29% ( -1.41) | 64.71% ( 1.41) |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.69% ( 0.34) | 23.31% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.75% ( 0.5) | 57.25% ( -0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.21)2-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.6% Total : 32.27% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 8.87% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 7.13% ( 0.31)1-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.19)2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.05% Total : 42.08% |
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