SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Reading had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Cardiff City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cardiff City.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Reading |
44.96% ( -0.62) | 24.23% ( -0.05) | 30.8% ( 0.67) |
| Both teams to score 58.73% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.35% ( 0.57) | 43.65% ( -0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.96% ( 0.56) | 66.04% ( -0.56) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.42% ( -0.03) | 19.58% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.5% ( -0.05) | 51.5% ( 0.05) |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.02% ( 0.72) | 26.97% ( -0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.68% ( 0.94) | 62.31% ( -0.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Reading |
| 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.23)2-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 5% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.1% Total : 44.96% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.23% | 1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.06% Total : 30.8% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
