SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 62.53%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 16.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
62.53% ( 1.48) | 21.06% ( -0.52) | 16.41% ( -0.97) |
| Both teams to score 51.22% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55% ( 0.57) | 45% ( -0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.65% ( 0.55) | 67.35% ( -0.55) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.2% ( 0.64) | 13.8% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.88% ( 1.26) | 41.12% ( -1.25) |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.42% ( -0.84) | 40.58% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.82% ( -0.77) | 77.18% ( 0.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.08% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.98% ( 0.24)2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.32)3-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.24)4-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.13)5-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.82% Total : 62.52% | 1-1 @ 10% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.99% Total : 21.06% | 0-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.87% Total : 16.41% |
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