Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 51.57%. A win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-21s win was 0-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sutton United in this match.
-0.28) 
0.29) 
