Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
0.01) 
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