Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sutton United in this match.
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