Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 45.44%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.