Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 52.72%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 24.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
0.04) 
-0.01) 
