SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
40.72% ( -0.09) | 24.78% ( 0.04) | 34.5% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 58.21% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.07% ( -0.16) | 44.94% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.71% ( -0.15) | 67.29% ( 0.16) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.96% ( -0.12) | 22.04% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.62% ( -0.17) | 55.38% ( 0.18) |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.67% ( -0.04) | 25.33% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.89% ( -0.06) | 60.11% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.38% 3-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 40.72% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.78% | 1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 34.5% |
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