SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gillingham in this match.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Gillingham |
35.59% ( -1.92) | 26.43% ( 0.15) | 37.97% ( 1.76) |
| Both teams to score 52.74% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.95% ( -0.66) | 52.04% ( 0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.22% ( -0.57) | 73.77% ( 0.57) |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.93% ( -1.44) | 28.07% ( 1.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.27% ( -1.86) | 63.72% ( 1.85) |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.32% ( 0.7) | 26.68% ( -0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.07% ( 0.92) | 61.92% ( -0.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.28)2-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.34)3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.26)3-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.26)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.8% Total : 35.59% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.45) 1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.42)1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.24)2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.22% Total : 37.97% |
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