Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gillingham in this match.

Result
Morecambe	Draw	Gillingham
35.59% ( -1.92)	26.43% ( 0.15)	37.97% ( 1.76)

Both teams to score 52.74% (

-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.95% (

-0.66)

52.04% (

0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.22% (

-0.57)

73.77% (

0.57)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.93% (

-1.44)

28.07% (

1.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.27% (

-1.86)

63.72% (

1.85)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.32% (

0.7)

26.68% (

-0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.07% (

0.92)

61.92% (

-0.93)

Score Analysis

Morecambe 35.59%

Gillingham 37.97%

Draw 26.43%

Morecambe	Draw	Gillingham
1-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.28) 2-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.34) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.26) 3-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.26) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.8% Total : 35.59%	1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.43%	0-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.45) 1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.42) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.24) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.22% Total : 37.97%