Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 74.34%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 9.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.9%) and 3-0 (10.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.75%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
