Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 52.13%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 24.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
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