SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 73.63%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Lillestrom had a probability of 12.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 3-0 (6.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.34%), while for a Lillestrom win it was 1-2 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bodo/Glimt | Draw | Lillestrom |
73.63% ( 0.47) | 14.18% ( -0.13) | 12.19% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 66.81% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 79.33% ( -0.19) | 20.67% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 60.96% ( -0.26) | 39.05% ( 0.26) |
| Bodo/Glimt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.09% ( 0.03) | 4.91% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 80.3% ( 0.08) | 19.71% ( -0.09) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.26% ( -0.59) | 29.74% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.2% ( -0.73) | 65.8% ( 0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bodo/Glimt | Draw | Lillestrom |
| 3-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.07)5-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.04)4-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.04)6-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 5.21% Total : 73.63% | 1-1 @ 5.34% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.53% Total : 14.18% | 1-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.06)0-1 @ 1.77% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.83% Total : 12.19% |
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