SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 56.51%. A win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 21.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest FK Haugesund win was 1-2 (5.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lillestrom | Draw | FK Haugesund |
56.51% ( 1.27) | 21.74% ( -0.39) | 21.76% ( -0.88) |
| Both teams to score 58.63% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.16% ( 0.75) | 39.84% ( -0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.8% ( 0.77) | 62.2% ( -0.77) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.03% ( 0.66) | 13.97% ( -0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.54% ( 1.28) | 41.46% ( -1.28) |
| FK Haugesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.15% ( -0.36) | 31.85% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.71% ( -0.42) | 68.29% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lillestrom | Draw | FK Haugesund |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.16)4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.09)5-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.31% Total : 56.51% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.73% | 1-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.57% Total : 21.76% |
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