Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Sandefjord had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Sandefjord win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sarpsborg 08 would win this match.
