Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stromsgodset win with a probability of 49.56%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stromsgodset win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stromsgodset would win this match.
