SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HamKam win with a probability of 68.56%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Jerv had a probability of 13.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a HamKam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 1-0 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.92%), while for a Jerv win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for HamKam in this match.
| Result | ||
| HamKam | Draw | Jerv |
68.56% ( -0.12) | 17.5% ( 0.04) | 13.94% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 57.76% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.51% ( 0.04) | 33.49% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.71% ( 0.04) | 55.28% ( -0.04) |
| HamKam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.11% ( -0.02) | 8.89% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.59% ( -0.04) | 30.41% ( 0.05) |
| Jerv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.4% ( 0.15) | 36.6% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.61% ( 0.14) | 73.38% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| HamKam | Draw | Jerv |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.73% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.26% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.14% ( 0)6-1 @ 0.91% ( -0)6-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.13% Total : 68.56% | 1-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 17.5% | 1-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.1% Total : 13.94% |
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