SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Sarpsborg 08 | 19 | -4 | 19 |
| 15 | Jerv | 19 | -30 | 14 |
| 16 | Kristiansund | 18 | -22 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Lillestrom | 19 | 19 | 40 |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | 19 | 28 | 38 |
| 4 | Rosenborg | 19 | 15 | 37 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 65.51%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Jerv had a probability of 15.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 0-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Jerv win it was 2-1 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jerv | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
15.7% ( -0.04) | 18.8% ( 0) | 65.51% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.54% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.09% ( -0.08) | 35.91% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42% ( -0.09) | 58% ( 0.09) |
| Jerv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.13% ( -0.1) | 35.88% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.35% ( -0.1) | 72.66% ( 0.1) |
| Bodo/Glimt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.74% ( -0.01) | 10.27% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.37% ( -0.02) | 33.63% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jerv | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
| 2-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 3.78% ( 0)2-0 @ 1.94% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 15.7% | 1-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 18.8% | 1-2 @ 9.78% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.03)0-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 7.42% ( -0)0-3 @ 7.24% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 4.22% ( -0)0-4 @ 4.12% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.92% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.88% ( 0)2-5 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 4.04% Total : 65.51% |
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