SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Tromso IL | 16 | -7 | 18 |
| 15 | Jerv | 17 | -25 | 11 |
| 16 | Kristiansund | 17 | -21 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 18 | 28 | 37 |
| 3 | Lillestrom | 17 | 17 | 37 |
| 4 | Rosenborg | 18 | 14 | 34 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 56.27%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Jerv had a probability of 21.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Jerv win it was 2-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jerv | Draw | Lillestrom |
21.72% ( 3.23) | 22.01% ( 1.22) | 56.27% ( -4.45) |
| Both teams to score 57.63% ( 1.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.86% ( -0.94) | 41.14% ( 0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.47% ( -0.96) | 63.53% ( 0.96) |
| Jerv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.38% ( 2.67) | 32.61% ( -2.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.84% ( 2.89) | 69.15% ( -2.89) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.52% ( -1.66) | 14.47% ( 1.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.54% ( -3.31) | 42.45% ( 3.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jerv | Draw | Lillestrom |
| 2-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.69) 1-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.58)2-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.51)3-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.39)3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.27)3-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.26)Other @ 2.42% Total : 21.72% | 1-1 @ 10.22% ( 0.54) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.36)0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22% | 1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.73)1-3 @ 6.37% ( -0.44)0-3 @ 5.68% ( -0.86)2-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 3.08% ( -0.42)0-4 @ 2.74% ( -0.61)2-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.1)1-5 @ 1.19% ( -0.25)0-5 @ 1.06% ( -0.32)Other @ 3.05% Total : 56.27% |
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