SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Molde | 22 | 30 | 54 |
| 2 | Lillestrom | 22 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | 22 | 26 | 41 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Sarpsborg 08 | 22 | -4 | 25 |
| 12 | Aalesund | 22 | -10 | 25 |
| 13 | HamKam | 23 | -4 | 23 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 74.17%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Aalesund had a probability of 10.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 3-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.08%), while for an Aalesund win it was 1-2 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Molde | Draw | Aalesund |
74.17% ( -0.02) | 15.4% ( 0.19) | 10.42% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 54.05% ( -1.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.35% ( -1.54) | 32.65% ( 1.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.68% ( -1.8) | 54.32% ( 1.8) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.51% ( -0.36) | 7.49% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.1% ( -0.94) | 26.9% ( 0.95) |
| Aalesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.43% ( -1.4) | 41.57% ( 1.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.94% ( -1.25) | 78.06% ( 1.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Molde | Draw | Aalesund |
| 2-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.46) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.24)1-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.51)3-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.18)5-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.16)6-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.11)6-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.46% Total : 74.17% | 1-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.25)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.16% Total : 15.4% | 1-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.3% Total : 10.42% |
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