Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stromsgodset win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Jerv had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stromsgodset win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Jerv win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
