SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Viking FK | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | Stromsgodset | 10 | 1 | 17 |
| 5 | Aalesund | 10 | -1 | 15 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Aalesund | 10 | -1 | 15 |
| 6 | Rosenborg | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| 7 | Sarpsborg 08 | 9 | 6 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.73%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Stromsgodset win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stromsgodset | Draw | Rosenborg |
35.2% ( 0.39) | 24.22% ( -0.12) | 40.58% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 60.39% ( 0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.84% ( 0.63) | 42.15% ( -0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.44% ( 0.63) | 64.56% ( -0.63) |
| Stromsgodset Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.36% ( 0.51) | 23.64% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.27% ( 0.73) | 57.73% ( -0.73) |
| Rosenborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.09% ( 0.14) | 20.91% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.36% ( 0.22) | 53.63% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stromsgodset | Draw | Rosenborg |
| 2-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.03% Total : 35.2% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.21% | 1-2 @ 8.73% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 4.55% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 40.58% |
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