Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aalesund win with a probability of 52.02%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 25.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aalesund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aalesund would win this match.
