SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Bodo/Glimt had a probability of 37.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.7%) and 2-0 (5.34%). The likeliest Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lech Poznan in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lech Poznan.
| Result | ||
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
38.57% ( 0.16) | 23.56% ( 0.03) | 37.86% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 63.17% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.32% ( -0.13) | 38.67% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.02% ( -0.14) | 60.98% ( 0.14) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.64% ( 0.02) | 20.35% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.25% ( 0.03) | 52.75% ( -0.03) |
| Bodo/Glimt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.31% ( -0.15) | 20.69% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.71% ( -0.24) | 53.29% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
| 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.02% Total : 38.57% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 8.32% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.92% Total : 37.86% |
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