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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 4
May 1, 2023 at 5pm UK
Intility Arena
L

Valerenga
3 - 4
Lillestrom

Hakans (7'), Bjordal (27'), Jatta (30')
Juklerod (37')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Lehne Olsen (17'), Adams (46', 90+6'), Asen (89')
Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Valerenga Fotball and Lillestrom.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brann 3-1 Valerenga
Saturday, April 22 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Lillestrom 2-1 Molde
Sunday, April 23 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valerenga Fotball win with a probability of 45.1%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valerenga Fotball win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Valerenga FotballDrawLillestrom
45.1% (0.861 0.86) 24.36% (-0.298 -0.3) 30.53% (-0.566 -0.57)
Both teams to score 58.14% (0.73 0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.64% (1.084 1.08)44.35% (-1.089 -1.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.27% (1.043 1.04)66.73% (-1.047 -1.05)
Valerenga Fotball Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.19% (0.822 0.82)19.8% (-0.825 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.13% (1.313 1.31)51.87% (-1.317 -1.32)
Lillestrom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.5% (0.167 0.17)27.5% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37% (0.216 0.22)63% (-0.219 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Valerenga Fotball 45.1%
    Lillestrom 30.53%
    Draw 24.36%
Valerenga FotballDrawLillestrom
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
1-0 @ 8.82% (-0.191 -0.19)
2-0 @ 7.14% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.98% (0.168 0.17)
3-0 @ 3.85% (0.112 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.123 0.12)
4-1 @ 2.01% (0.117 0.12)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.083 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 45.1%
1-1 @ 11.38% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-2 @ 5.95% (0.081 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.45% (-0.261 -0.26)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.36%
1-2 @ 7.35% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-1 @ 7.03% (-0.302 -0.3)
0-2 @ 4.54% (-0.173 -0.17)
1-3 @ 3.16% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.047 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.065 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 30.53%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Brann 3-1 Valerenga
Saturday, April 22 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Valerenga 0-2 Sarpsborg
Sunday, April 16 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Aalesund 0-1 Valerenga
Monday, April 10 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Valerenga 1-2 Molde
Sunday, November 13 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Haugesund 1-1 Valerenga
Sunday, November 6 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Valerenga 3-3 Sarpsborg
Saturday, October 29 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Lillestrom 2-1 Molde
Sunday, April 23 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Lillestrom 4-3 Stromsgodset
Wednesday, April 19 at 5.30pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Viking FK 2-0 Lillestrom
Saturday, April 15 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Lillestrom 3-1 HamKam
Sunday, November 13 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Aalesund 2-1 Lillestrom
Sunday, November 6 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Lillestrom 0-2 Odd
Sunday, October 30 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien


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