Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 57.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 20.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Stromsgodset win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.
Result | ||
Lillestrom | Draw | Stromsgodset |
57.27% ( 0.25) | 22.37% ( -0.18) | 20.36% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 54.33% ( 0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.46% ( 0.7) | 44.54% ( -0.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.09% ( 0.67) | 66.9% ( -0.67) |
Lillestrom Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.69% ( 0.33) | 15.31% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.96% ( 0.61) | 44.04% ( -0.61) |
Stromsgodset Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.14% ( 0.33) | 35.85% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.37% ( 0.33) | 72.63% ( -0.33) |
Score Analysis |
Lillestrom | Draw | Stromsgodset |
1-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.67% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.56% Total : 57.27% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.36% | 0-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 1.84% Total : 20.36% |
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