SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest FK Haugesund win was 1-0 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FK Haugesund | Draw | Lillestrom |
28.57% ( -0.22) | 24.69% ( 0.04) | 46.74% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 55.8% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.11% ( -0.31) | 46.89% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.86% ( -0.29) | 69.14% ( 0.29) |
| FK Haugesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.87% ( -0.32) | 30.13% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.72% ( -0.39) | 66.28% ( 0.38) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.87% ( -0.05) | 20.13% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.6% ( -0.08) | 52.4% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| FK Haugesund | Draw | Lillestrom |
| 1-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.15% Total : 28.57% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.69% | 0-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 9.35% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.79% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 5% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.16% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 46.74% |
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