Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 62.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 16.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a FK Haugesund win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lillestrom in this match.
