SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Haugesund win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Haugesund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FK Haugesund | Draw | Lillestrom |
40.14% ( 0.57) | 24.24% ( -0.05) | 35.62% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 60.38% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.79% ( 0.15) | 42.21% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.38% ( 0.15) | 64.62% ( -0.15) |
| FK Haugesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.85% ( 0.34) | 21.14% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46% ( 0.52) | 54% ( -0.52) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.57% ( -0.21) | 23.43% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.56% ( -0.31) | 57.43% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| FK Haugesund | Draw | Lillestrom |
| 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.71% Total : 40.14% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.18% Total : 35.62% |
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