SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lillestrom | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
44.96% ( 0.01) | 23.71% ( -0) | 31.33% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 60.87% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.04% ( 0.01) | 40.95% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.65% ( 0.01) | 63.34% ( -0.01) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.5% ( 0.01) | 18.49% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.29% ( 0.01) | 49.7% ( -0.01) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.68% ( -0) | 25.31% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.9% ( -0) | 60.09% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lillestrom | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
| 2-1 @ 9.16% 1-0 @ 7.9% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.67% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.15% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.54% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0)Other @ 3.54% Total : 44.96% | 1-1 @ 10.85% 2-2 @ 6.29% 0-0 @ 4.68% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.7% | 1-2 @ 7.46% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.43% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.41% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.88% 0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.17% 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.54% Total : 31.33% |
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