SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Stromsgodset | 10 | 1 | 17 |
| 5 | Aalesund | 10 | -1 | 15 |
| 6 | Rosenborg | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Lillestrom | 10 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | Molde | 10 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Viking FK | 11 | 10 | 21 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 48.33%. A win for Aalesund had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Aalesund win was 2-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aalesund | Draw | Molde |
27.82% ( -0.22) | 23.85% ( -0.07) | 48.33% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 58.06% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.34% ( 0.15) | 43.66% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.95% ( 0.15) | 66.05% ( -0.15) |
| Aalesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.98% ( -0.08) | 29.02% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.08% ( -0.1) | 64.92% ( 0.1) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.79% ( 0.17) | 18.21% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.78% ( 0.29) | 49.22% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aalesund | Draw | Molde |
| 2-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.42% Total : 27.82% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.87% 0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.85% | 1-2 @ 9.48% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 9% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 5.39% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 4.35% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.29% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.55% Total : 48.33% |
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